Re: VMs: could it not be a hoax (I would like it not to be it)

[Mart Vabar <mesinik@xxxxxx>]

On Wed, 28 May 2003, Bruce Grant wrote:
> Mart Vabar wrote:
> > But somehow it seems, such a hoax is a little bit too much for a medieval
> > man. They had maybe more time than contemporary people, but...
> > So, again - probably somebody from V. circles.
> > And this is, where physical examination could help.
> I am always leery of general arguments along the lines of "a person of type X wouldn't do
> Y" (which frequently appear in this mailing list).
> There is so much variation in what interests and motivates individual human beings that
> you can't rule out much of anything on these grounds, particularly since it only takes a
> single example to invalidate the argument.
> Bruce Grant


absolutely

and so - as long as we don't have physical tests of VMS, we have to watch many 
different paths to go. And here is, where we have to ask, how could this piece 
of art  be born.

This is, where the statistics enters our game. You probably heard about 
the "tunnel effect" in physics. Any two pieces of matter can go through each 
other, they just probably don't do it. If the pieces are small - like 
atoms - they sometimes really do it. If the pieces consist of many atoms - like, 
say, our bodies, the chance to step through the walls is in fact zero.

In VMS, the "wall" is of course the many things, which the modern, 
well-equipped cryptologists and lingvists tell about it. 
The problem is, there are _many different_ such things and it is hard to 
understand, that a hoaxer could go through _all_ these "checkpoints".

This is, why I think - the only chance for the hoax-version is:
A group of bored intellectuals, who was banished to Siberia by czarist state 
machinery. My opinion - it could really be there work, too. These people was not 
only educated, they was often real top brains. 

Looking back to the times of Voynich:
could the work of all the secret services in the world be from the very 
beginning be: to search for, and  to create of the enemies? This could maybe a 
new Murphy's Law, but in the case of VMS, these circles seem really interested. 
Why?

But to come back, where this passage began - without physical tests we can't 
rule out almost nothing. The unexplored places can't be interpolated from the 
rules, which by definition can't describe it. So, I agree with the above-said 
thesis.

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