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Re: OT: Universe, was Re: VMs: Folio and Quire numbers
Rene Zandbergen wrote:
My pet peeve with the equation that estimates
the number of planets with intelligent life in
the universe (the Drake equation).
It is trying to do exactly that.
What is the probability that life will come in
existence on a planet with the suitable conditions?
I think Drake's equation should be taken with a grain of salt -- rather as a
general pointer to the numerous factors which are _at least_ necessary to
find life, than as a means of determining that there currently are 2312
civilizations in this galaxy.
Or: someone has been playing around with an
N-faced die (not necessarily 6). After a while
he shows you that he has thrown a 1. What can
you deduce about the probability of throwing a 1?
Exactly. Statistics begins with 3, as one of my old professors used to point
Elmar Vogt / Königswarterstr. 18 / 90762 Fürth / GERMANY
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